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- Steinkamp, Joerg, Trachsel, Mathias, Poulter, Benjamin, Williams, John W., Dawson, Andria, McLachlan, Jason, Rollinson, Christine R., Hickler, Thomas, Moore, David J. P., Dietze, Michael C., Raiho, Ann M., Quaife, Tristan, Jackson, Stephen T.
Forecasts of future forest change are governed by ecosystem sensitivity to climate change, but ecosystem model projections are under-constrained by data at multidecadal and longer timescales. Here, we quantify ecosystem sensitivity to centennial-scale hydroclimate variability, by comparing dendroclimatic and pollen-inferred reconstructions of drought, forest composition and biomass for the last millennium with five ecosystem model simulations. In both observations and models, spatial patterns…
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